DeFi Token Valuation

Protocol revenue only matters to a token holder if a mechanism routes it to them. Every multiple here is paired with that check, valued on circulating market cap, and annualized from a trailing window rather than a single day of fees.

Snapshot 2026-08-07 · fees and unlocks from DefiLlama, price and supply from CoinGecko

Read the methodology: how every metric here is calculated
Cash-flow7

Revenue reaches holders today. Multiples carry a claim, so it prices like equity.

Transitional3

Capture is live but young, capped, or governance-revocable. Discount the multiple.

Non-accruing2

No mechanism routes revenue to the token. Price is a reference, not a claim.

12 tokens

Net holder yield

What holders are paid, minus the assumed sell-through on next year of unlocks and emissions, over circulating market cap. Negative means dilution outruns the payout.

Outcome range

One row per token, both cases measured from 0% — today's price. Blue runs right for the bull case, red runs left for the bear case; they are two independent returns, not the two ends of one distribution. The blue leg follows your peak-fee slider; the red leg is measured, not assumed — 80% of the worst quarter this protocol actually had. A blue bar that also points left means even the optimistic case loses money. These are brackets, not a confidence interval — the bull case compounds two separate 90th-percentile outcomes, so its joint likelihood is far below 10%.

  • Bull case
  • Bear case

Screener

Price is decomposed, not forecast: return = fee torque × multiple re-rate ÷ supply drag. That is an identity — the only judgement is the fee assumption, so it is yours to set per token.

TokenNext-cycle fees, vs last peakRe-rate ÷ drag
HYPE
Hyperliquid
Cash-flow
$12.1B21.4x4.7%0.3%
80%
0%= 143% of current500%
1.05x1.13/1.07
51%
-82%
$81.62
UNIB
Uniswap
Transitional
$2.5B44.4x2.3%0.3%
80%
0%= 146% of current500%
1.56x1.61/1.03
128%
-50%
$9.15
AAVEC
Aave
Non-accruing
$1.4B51.2x2.0%1.6%
80%
0%= 232% of current500%
1.31x1.31/1.01
203%
-56%
$272
SKYB
Sky
Cash-flow
$1.3B93.6x1.1%0.9%
80%
0%= 98% of current500%
1.26x1.27/1.00
23%
-47%
$0.0670
MORPHOC
Morpho
Non-accruing
$1.2B65.3x1.5%-10.3%
80%
0%= 78% of current500%
1.13x1.36/1.20
-12%
-92%
$1.65
PUMPC
Pump.fun
Cash-flow
$898.0M5.1x19.5%6.9%
80%
0%= 105% of current500%
1.63x1.97/1.21
70%
-81%
$0.00388
JUP
Jupiter
Cash-flow
$605.9M22.0x4.5%4.5%
80%
0%= 326% of current500%
1.07x1.07/1.00
247%
-67%
$0.6312
LIGHTERC
Lighter
Transitional
$586.4M21.2x4.7%-23.0%
80%
0%= 325% of current500%
0.64x0.93/1.46
107%
-90%
$4.86
CAKE
PancakeSwap
Cash-flow
$453.2M18.4x5.4%4.0%
80%
0%= 309% of current500%
0.89x0.91/1.02
174%
-75%
$3.86
AERO
Aerodrome
Cash-flow
$431.2M7.3x13.7%-1.0%
80%
0%= 309% of current500%
0.87x1.08/1.25
168%
-65%
$1.18
LDOC
Lido
Transitional
$240.8M24.1x4.2%3.7%
80%
0%= 192% of current500%
2.06x2.07/1.01
296%
-20%
$1.14
PENDLEB
Pendle
Cash-flow
$237.2M31.6x3.2%1.2%
80%
0%= 414% of current500%
1.01x1.04/1.03
318%
-66%
$5.75

How to read this. A low multiple on a non-accruing token is not cheapness — there is no claim behind it. Cycle scenarios rescale revenue to the 10th and 90th percentile of its own trailing two years, so “bear” is what this protocol actually earned at its worst, not a guess.

Confidence tiers: A = full adapter coverage and a published unlock schedule; B = one caveat, typically a manual override; C = missing schedule or unreconciled accounting. Shown next to the symbol when not A.